Joe Biden has the support of just over half of Democrats, although the vast majority still expect the former vice president to be their party’s presidential nominee.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 54% of Likely Democratic Voters are satisfied with Biden as the Democrats’ 2020 nominee. Twenty-eight percent (28%) think the party should find someone else to be their nominee, while another 18% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Ninety-two percent (92%) of Democrats, however, think it’s likely Biden will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2020, with 77% who say it’s Very Likely.
Because of the numerous primaries delayed or modified due to the coronavirus, most Democrats said in early April that an open convention in which delegates are not bound by primary outcomes is likely. But 90% still thought Biden was the likely nominee, with 70% who said it was Very Likely.
Among all likely voters, 36% think Democrats need to find someone other than Biden to be their nominee; 45% disagree, and 19% are undecided. But 82% think Biden is the likely nominee, with 63% who say it’s Very Likely.
The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted May 10-11, 2020 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
There’s a lot more voter excitement about a Trump-Biden matchup compared to the last two presidential elections, especially among Republicans.
Big majorities of voters in nearly all categories expect Biden to win the Democratic nomination.
But 44% of voters under 40, the bloc most supportive of Biden’s chief opponent Bernie Sanders, think Democrats should find another nominee. Older voters are more supportive of Biden, although sizable numbers are undecided.
Blacks favor Biden’s nomination more than whites and other minority voters do.
[Many people consider this number strange, given Joe Biden’s history as a senator.
NBC Reported: In 1975, Biden was representing a state where one of the first major urban school desegregation plans had been ordered by a court. Many white parents in the Wilmington area were angry. In response, Biden sponsored not just the bill limiting courts’ power but also an amendment to an appropriations bill that barred the federal government from withholding funding from schools that remained effectively segregated.
The amendment went beyond the busing issue, affecting school systems that effectively separated students by race whether or not they used busing. Co-sponsors included segregationist Sens. Jesse Helms, R-N.C., and Strom Thurmond, R-S.C. The amendment passed the Senate on a 50-43 vote, including majorities of both Democrats and Republicans. (Biden was not alone among northern Democrats who supported it — in that group, 14 supported the amendment and 26 opposed it, according to the Congressional Quarterly.)
A 1977 report on school desegregation by the Civil Rights Commission, a federal agency, described Biden’s activities as stymieing school integration.]
Liberals are happier with Biden as the nominee than moderates and conservatives are.
A former Senate staffer has accused Biden of sexual assault, and voters suspect she may be telling the truth. But they don’t expect the media to cover the Biden story like they did the allegations against Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh.
In early April, Democrats were evenly divided when asked whether Biden or New York Governor Andrew Cuomo would make a better challenger against President Trump in November. Cuomo is not a candidate for the nomination but has earned positive reviews for his response to the coronavirus while questions have arisen about Biden’s mental health.