Israel is bracing for an Iranian rocket attack that could come as early as Sunday, reports say. Last night, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu made preemptive strikes against Iranian backed Hezbollah forces in Syria’s Hama and Aleppo areas. Experts say the “direct aggression” is expected to be answered with an Iranian show of force. Israel vows to defend itself and, if necessary, take the fight all the way back to Tehran.
There is no doubt in anyone’s mind there will be a retaliation, the big questions are when, where, and how big it will be. World powers are holding their breath as the Middle East dominoes line up. All eyes are on Beirut. Sunday, May 6, is Lebanon’s first election in a decade and the outcome will affect the size of the retaliation attack that Iran ultimately launches on Israel.
Everyone is afraid to shake the table before they get their own pieces into place, for fear of prematurely setting off an explosive chain-reaction of escalation.
“There is now so much friction between the sides that it is very natural that a single miscalculation across the board on one of these flashpoints could spiral out of control,” Ali Vaez, a director at the International Crisis Group explains.
The challenging candidate backed by Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and Iran has a whisker’s chance of winning.
If Jamil al-Sayyed loses, Iran will likely make only a token effort with a small scale limited assault on an exclusively military installation. If he wins, a large scale rocket offensive against a major city like Jerusalem or Tel Aviv could be the result.
Eleven Iranian soldiers were killed last night, but the Ayatollah is more upset about the 200 very expensive missiles that were destroyed. Syria is right in the middle of it all and Iran puppet al-Assad is hopping mad at the end of his strings.
“The incorporation of other countries in the phase of direct aggression [against Syria] after their plans failed only increases the determination of the Syrians to eradicate all forms of terrorism,” al-Assad proclaimed.
In the most recent strikes, Israel targeted specific Syrian locations where Iranian backed Hezbollah is trying to gain footholds, and did it with the approval of President Donald Trump.
The Barack Obama administration days of aiding the enemy and supporting radical terrorists by calling the Arab Spring a democratic movement are over. Under Obama, the CIA quit watching Hezbollah and the DEA turned their backs on “multi-ton loads of cocaine.” Hundreds of millions of illegal drug dollars were laundered through Hezbollah’s network in Venezuela by Lebanese banks.
Tensions have been rising in the region, making it clear that Israel and Iran are destined to bring the ‘proxy war’ to a direct confrontation. So far, both sides are staying fairly calm, trying to avoid doing anything that would require immediate use of force.
Israel isn’t claiming responsibility even though everyone knows they made the strikes. Iran isn’t claiming any Iranian casualties yet. As long as no Iranians were killed, a response remains “optional.” The terrorist country has issued a diplomatic warning though.
“I say this to the Zionists, we know you very well. You are very vulnerable. You have neither depth nor backing. Your mischief has increased. Listen and be aware any war that might happen, rest assured will bring about your disappearance,” Senior Revolutionary Guard commander Hossein Salami vowed.
Israel believes him. “Iranian retaliation is on its way,” a retired Israeli Major General agrees. It is inevitable because of “the strategic position and determination of Iran to build advanced military forces in Syria, and the Israeli determination not to let that happen.”
Israel put the word out through political back channels, notifying Russia and the United States that any attack on them by either Iran or Hezbollah would result in a strike on “Iran itself.”
Israel is relying on “unwavering support” from President Trump. The two agree that the Iran deal is a swiss cheese of loopholes favoring Iranian interests and needs to go.
“Why would a terrorist regime hide and meticulously catalog its secret nuclear files, if not to use them at a later date? Iran lied about having a nuclear weapons program. Iran continued to preserve and expand its nuclear weapons know-how for future use,” the Prime Minister notes.
Over the past two weeks, dignitaries have been putting their heads together. General Joseph Votel, in charge of US Central Command, paid a visit to Israel. Our new Secretary of State Mike Pompeo also had a meeting with Prime Minister Netanyahu.
Israel sent their Defense Minister Avigdor Liberman to Washington, D.C. in return. He sat down for productive planning sessions with our secretary of defense and national security advisers. President Trump spoke directly with Netanyahu on the phone. It’s almost as if General Mattis was right, before Obama fired him… the main problem in the Middle East is Iran, Iran, Iran.
Other players in the region are fed up with Hezbollah’s backstabbing and are content to mind their own business if Israel decides to take more action. The Saudis see Iran as a major threat to the Middle East. Egypt is tied up with their own problems (thanks Hillary), so as long as the Sinai Peninsula is left out of the game, Egypt isn’t going to get involved.
The Kremlin and Russia’s President Vladimir Putin have been propping al-Assad up with high tech gear. Russia isn’t happy with the latest turn of events because it puts the lives of Russian forces at risk.
The entire region is a tinderbox, and it looks like Iran is ready to light the fuse.