The liberal Dems are going bonkers. When in power, they’re dangerous, out of power, they’re funny. The three stooges team of Pelosi, Schumer, and Hoyer are like a slap stick comedy in trying to muster enough support to keep from being run completely out of town in the 2018 mid-term elections.
Senate Democrats know they may lose their last congressional tool to block legislation from the GOP-led Congress in November 2018, because they must defend 23 seats, while the GOP need only defend eight seats.
That leaves many of the 23 Democratic Senator, and their leaders, with the difficult task of balancing party solidarity and personal political survival. Party leaders commonly give vulnerable senators leeway to buck their party going into an election year, but if the Democrats allow a third of their senators to freelance on critical votes during the next two years, they cease to function as a party at all.
The Republican Revolution of ’94 or the Gingrich Revolution, refers to the Republican Party success in the 1994 U.S. midterm elections, which resulted in a net gain of 54 seats in the House of Representatives, and a pickup of eight seats in the Senate. The day after the election, Democratic Senator Richard Shelby of Alabama changed parties, becoming a Republican.
Rather than campaigning independently in each district, Republican candidates chose to rally behind a single national program and message fronted by Georgia congressman Newt Gingrich. They alleged President Bill Clinton was not the New Democrat he claimed he was during his 1992 campaign, but was a “tax and spend” liberal. The Republicans offered an alternative to Clinton’s policies in the form of the Contract with America.
The gains in seats in the mid-term election resulted in the Republicans gaining control of both the House and the Senate in January 1995. Republicans had not held the majority in the House for forty years, since the 83rd Congress in 1952.
Large Republican gains were made in state houses as well when the GOP picked up twelve gubernatorial seats and 472 legislative seats. In so doing, it took control of 20 state legislatures from the Democrats. Prior to this, Republicans had not held the majority of governorships since 1972. In addition, this was the first time in 50 years that the GOP controlled a majority of state legislatures.
The list of state governors is 33 Republican, 16, Democrat, and 1 independent. A new post-election map proves that many more Americans now live in states controlled by Republican governors and legislatures than all-Democratic-run states.
For newly installed Senate Minority Leader Sen. Charles E. Schumer, this means playing a most dangerous game with 10 of his colleagues up for reelection in states won by President Donald J. Trump plus, Maine, where Trump won one electoral vote. The choice for Schumer and the Democrats is whether to fiddle in the middle, blurring the distinctions between its incumbents and the Trump-led Republican Party, or make a last stand at Fort Obama, defending former president Barack Obama’s legacy, even at the cost of losing the ability to delay and or block legislation.
The magic number is eight. With eight more seats, Senate Republicans no longer need worry about Democrats.
Coming out of the 2016 election cycle, Republicans hold a 52-to-48 seat majority, with the Democrats holding 46 seats combined with two Independents who caucus with Democrats. Upon the Jan. 20 swearing in of Indiana Gov. Michael R. Pence as vice-president, the GOP will be able to sustain two defections, having Pence on stand-by to break a tie.
Inside the Senate, a minority faction has the power to block legislation because there is a 60-vote requirement to formally end debate and hold a vote on legislation and nominations to the Supreme Court. With 41 votes, a bloc can keep the debate going forever and thus block any bill from coming to the floor. That ability to block legislation, however, does not apply to bills dealing with the budget, which is why Republicans are using the budget track to repeal the 2010 Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, Obamacare.
If the 2018 election sends eight more Republicans to the Senate, the Democrats lose their last vestige of the maximum power they commanded in 2009-2010, when they held 60 votes in the Senate from Sept. 24, 2009 to Feb. 4, 2010, plus control of the House and the White House.
These are the first four seats the Republicans need to pick up in 2018. All but Heinrich and Kaine are from states where Trump won an electoral vote. Trump lost New Mexico to his Democratic rival Hillary Clinton, 48 percent to his 40 percent, but freshman Heinrich is still vulnerable given there is a Republican governor and the state has been deep purple for many cycles now. Virginia is competitive and purple — the Republican Party in the commonwealth does not have the same Red Zone killer instinct of years gone by.
The Democrats don’t know what to do. They want to seem loyal to their base, but don’t want to appear as obstructionists. Republicans control politics nationally at state level, which is vital to mid-term elections. The Hollywood elites are flipping completely out. Madonna wants to blow up the White House and left-wingers have stooped to insulting Trump’s 10-year old son. Even the most left of the left in the U.S. Congress are having to distance themselves from the insanity.
The GOP will be better served to just go about the business of supporting Donald Trump and letting the Dems implode on their own.
They just need to be given enough rope.