GOP Holding Firm

PUBLISHED: 8:31 PM 31 May 2018

Blue Wave Crashes Against Republican Shores

In two 'battleground' states, things aren't going the DNC's way.

As democrats across the country continue to tout the 'blue wave' that will 'carry them to victory' in 2018, it appears that the wave is not nearly as strong as they think.

For months now, the ‘story’ about the 2018 election in November has been the Democrat Party and its candidates were just waiting to ride a ‘blue wave’ to victory. The ‘blue wave’ was, according to them, going to come about due to Donald Trump’s reputation, combined with their ability to offer ‘better’ ideas.

The closer the country draws to election day, however, the less realistic that assessment becomes, and the more likely it seems that Republicans will keep majorities, if only bare majorities, in both houses of the federal legislature. Many think that this is, at least in part, due to the DNC’s continued talk of ‘impeachment,’ even without any justifiable cause for such a course of action.

For years, democrats have claimed that Texas was slowly turning purple, and that it would be a battleground state in upcoming elections. That prediction certainly didn’t come true in 2016, when the Republican Party handily took the state with a nine percent lead in the presidential election.

However, with claims that the ‘blue wave’ would take the DNC and its candidates to new heights, some believed that the party would finally be able to unseat one of their biggest targets, Senator Ted Cruz of Texas.

To the contrary, Cruz ‘cruised’ easily to victory in the primary, managing to rack up 1.5 million votes. His opponent in the upcoming election, Beto O’Rourke, managed to score less than half of the votes his electoral opponent totaled.

In fact, the current U.S. Senator from Texas managed to receive half-a-million more votes than the total number of voters in the DNC primaries.

The results of an April Quinnipiac poll suggested that there just might be some trouble up ahead for the seated Senator, however.

That poll showed Cruz with 47 percent of voters’ backing, while his opponent, O’Rourke, showed 44 percent in favor of his election. That’s well within the margin of error for such a poll.

However, it seems that the better Texans got to know the DNC choice for the seat, the less enamored they were of him.

On Wednesday, May 30, Quinnipiac released another poll, which showed that Cruz’s support in the state had grown to 50 percent, a respectable gain.

Perhaps most importantly, though, the poll showed that O’Rourke lost five percent in the same time period, and slid down to 39 percent of the vote.

Much of that change was due to a shift in major demographics. Women said that they preferred the republican by a two percent margin, for example.

Cruz also managed to improve his standing with Latinos, going from being down by 18 percent where they were concerned to being up with 2 percent more of the Hispanic vote than O’Rourke has.

It’s not just Texas where the ‘blue wave’ is falling apart, however. Democrats in Arizona are quickly losing hope as well.

Since RINO John McCain’s health deteriorated earlier in the year, republicans have worried that if the long-serving U.S. Senator decided to leave his seat, or if he died, a special election could be triggered.

That would mean that democrats would have a chance to pick up a seat that was long thought of as being essentially republican property.

After all, the party has held that seat since John McCain, now 81 years old, took it in 1987 after defeating democrat Richard Kimball by 20 percentage points in the contest for Barry Goldwater’s former Senate seat.

Up until a certain number of days before the next election, a vacancy requires the state government to set up a special election to fill the position vacated by the previous U.S. Senator.

However, on May 30, that was no longer the case. That’s the ‘filing deadline’ for the state of Arizona.

That means that, until the next election occurs this year, even if the seated Senator dies, there will be no special election. Instead, Arizona Governor Doug Ducey, a republican, will be able to appoint a replacement from the state in the event that Senator McCain passes away before his term ends.

Some have rumored that Governor Ducey could even appoint the current senator’s wife, Cindy McCain, to hold the seat until the 2020 election season.

While republicans in the state still face the loss of Jeff Flake’s Senate seat, as he plans to leave rather than seeking a second term in the U.S. Senate, at least the party can be sure that one of the Arizona seats will be preserved.

The DNC’s plans for the 2018 election season are already falling apart. Of course, it is hard to tell exactly how the election will go until it’s actually happened, a point driven home by President Donald Trump’s 2016 upset, but the information coming out of Texas and Arizona is undoubtedly good for the political right in the United States.